Bombardier/Siemens Supply Chain Survey by Survation for UNITE

Survation interviewed 125 companies (primarily their Managing Directors) operating in the UK that supply Siemens and/or Bombardier for train manufacture. The companies were interviewed about the potential impact to their business of Bombardier losing the Thameslink contract to Siemens – on the basis that rolling stock would be manufactured mainly in Siemens’ facilities in Germany versus Bombardier’s UK plant. The interviews were conducted between Friday August 26th and Thursday September 1st.

The sample was intended to represent a cross-section of UK businesses involved in supplying services, components and parts to the global train manufacturing industry. Seventeen observations were collected via a web-based invitation survey with the remainder (108) via telephone interviews. The questions were the same for both methods.

Executive Summary

1) Almost half of the suppliers interviewed rely on Bombardier for at least 5% of their sales; while at the other extreme 6% of those interviewed rely almost entirely on Bombardier.

2) Only 24% of UK Suppliers we interviewed currently supply Siemens, indicating that they are poorly positioned to provide Siemens with future train manufacture. The shortfall in business from the Bombardier plant in Derby not manufacturing Thameslink trains would, in many suppliers’ views, not be supplemented by orders from Siemens.

3) 40.59% of the companies we interviewed – plan to execute job losses. Indeed, some suppliers have already lain off workers. 32% have done so or plan to do so within the next 3 months. Of those expecting job losses 73.7% expect them within the next six months. Despite the government looking to review the UK’s procurement process in the light of recent job losses suffered at Bombardier, the announced 1-year delay to the Crossrail contract is unlikely to help the employment picture as many jobs will already be lost.

4) When asked “How will they be affected by Bombardier losing the Thameslink contract to Siemens?” responses ranged from “none” to “substantial”, and in some cases complete closure. We found that of the total sample, 19.2% of businesses believed it would have a substantial negative impact on growth and almost a third (32.0%) believed it would have a substantial negative impact on sales.

5) Businesses holding one or both of these opinions (a substantially negative impact on growth or sales) could be found nationwide, from Abadare to Witney (See A-Z impact tables in the linked document). While the greatest number of impacted companies were found in Derby – (the UK’s rail production hub) – Birmingham, Nottingham and Chesterfield were ranked highly in the survey in terms of the number of businesses facing job losses. Only one respondent believed Bombardier’s loss of contract to Siemens would have a positive impact.

6) Overall, Small-Medium sized Enterprises (SMEs) will likely see the largest impact on their businesses if Bombardier loses the Thameslink contract. They face higher job losses as a proportion of their business and they are likely to execute job losses in a shorter period. Almost two thirds (65.6%) of SMEs we interviewed do not currently supply Siemens, compared to the survey average of 53.6%.

Comment from Damian Lyons Lowe, CEO of Survation;

“Our previous survey work relating to Bombardier looked at the striking local political impact in Derby of the government decision to award preferred bidder status to Siemens over Bombardier with its main manufacturing plant in Derby. This survey has shown there will also be a meaningful impact on jobs and growth nationally, particularly to small and medium sized companies”.

Unite general secretary, Len McCluskey said:

"This powerful survey is a devastating indictment of the government's decision on Thameslink. It is absolutely scandalous that the Tory-led government did not stop to examine the social and economic impact of not choosing Bombardier for the Thameslink contract.

"From Abadare in Wales to Cameron's own Oxfordshire constituency Witney, countless small and medium sized companies will pay the price for this decision. Some companies are even having to lay-off workers now and a third believe the decision will have a substantially negative impact on their business.

"The fact that fewer than one per cent believe they will benefit from the government's preferred bidder is a devastating indictment of the government's manufacturing strategy. The Department of Transport has openly admitted they failed to carry out an impact assessment on the consequences of not awarding the contract to Bombardier.

"As this survey shows it is not just about 3,000 skilled jobs in Derby there are thousands more which depend on Bombardier up and down the country."

For Survation media requests, please contact Romilly Dennys or Arpana Ghandi at Media Intelligence Partners on 0203 0088149 or 07786 221309 or email romilly@mippr.co.uk

For UNITE please contact Ciaran Naidoo 07768 931 315 Ciaran.Naidoo@unitetheunion.org

Damian Lyons Lowe

CEO. Survation Ltd 020 7490 4094

damian.lyonslowe@survation.com

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